Blitzscaling 02: Sam Altman on Y Combinator and What Makes The Best Founders

Executive Summary:

  • Y Combinator (YC) funds around 250 startups per year and aims to provide a 100x advantage through advice, connections, and access to its alumni community.
  • YC has identified key qualities of successful founders, including clarity of vision, determination/passion, raw intelligence, and speed of execution.
  • YC prefers 2-3 person founding teams with diverse skills, but cautions against hiring too many employees before product/market fit and advises compassionate approaches to firing.
  • Greylock is excited about specialized AI applications and the long-term potential of "superhuman AI" and clean energy, while cautioning against overreliance on fundraising metrics and hype around specific trends.

Meeting Notes:

Overview of Y Combinator

  • Y Combinator (YC) funds and enables innovation through startups with the goal of enabling as much innovation as possible in the world.
    • YC funds around 250 startups per year in their core program.
    • They also have a fellowship program for smaller investments of one-tenth the money with less advice.
    • The aim is to provide a 100x advantage to YC startups through advice, connections, and access to the alumni community network.
    • There are now over 2,000 founders that YC has funded.
    • YC companies work with each other, helping in fundraising, hiring, buying products, etc. creating a tight community.
    • YC functions somewhere between a product company and a traditional investing firm.

The Evolution of Startup Funding

  • Startup funding has become more founder-friendly over the years.
    • YC has played a role in shifting the focus from business plans and financials to the product itself.
    • In the past (pre-2005), the investment world seemed mysterious, favoring business people over engineers/founders.
    • Greylock (Sam Altman) experienced this shift first-hand when applying to YC in 2005 with his startup Loopt, as YC cared more about the product and vision than business/financial plans.

Qualities of Successful Founders

  • YC has tracked and rated founders on different qualities over time to identify important factors for success:
    • Clarity of vision - Can the founder clearly explain what they do and why? Key for recruiting, selling, PR, etc.
    • Determination and passion - Founders who are relentless, bend the world to their will, and deeply believe in their mission. Crucial to overcome the many roadblocks founders face daily.
    • Raw intelligence
    • Speed of execution and decision-making, strongly correlated with YC's most successful founders who can get things done quickly. Greylock has found this "cadence" crucial even for hard tech companies like biotech and nuclear.

Founder Teams

  • YC prefers 2-3 person founding teams but is open to solo founders (who often add co-founders later like Dropbox, Instacart).
    • Solo founders face psychological challenges - it's a lonely and tough job with many setbacks.
    • With 2 founders, they can ride out ups and downs together where one pulls the other up during lows.
    • 3 co-founders is fine, but 4 is harder as someone often leaves within a couple of years.
    • Diversity of skills and backgrounds is an advantage, but diversity of vision/beliefs on the type of company to build is problematic and often a dealbreaker.

Hiring and Firing

  • Hiring is difficult, but YC advises minimizing hiring too early before product/market fit.
    • Greylock: "Our best startups hire the least people early on."
    • Too many employees create organizational debt, high burn rates, internal politics, etc. slowing things down.
  • Firing is the hardest part of being a founder, but be compassionate and help the employee transition.
    • In cases where the relationship is damaged, Greylock has advised some founders to part ways.
    • Greylock's advice: Put yourself in the employee's shoes, treat them with respect, make it a "win" for them by lining up their next job before firing.

Pivots and Failures

  • Successful pivots are rare - founders either return to their original vision or uncover an organic new direction (e.g. Instagram, Airbnb).
    • Failure should be tolerated but not celebrated. Focus on learning from successes, not failures.
    • Greylock hasn't seen "whiteboard pivots" work where founders sit down and completely reinvent their idea from scratch. It's harder to pivot into a bold new idea that sounds crazy at first.
    • Better to return remaining capital and wait for an organic new passion to emerge.

Emerging Technologies

  • In the short-term, Greylock is excited about verticalized AI applications optimizing particular industries like robotics, cybersecurity, trading etc.
    • But someday the key breakthrough will be developing actual general intelligence and creativity algorithms ("superhuman AI").
    • Greylock believes friendly AI and cheap, clean energy are the two most important things to improve life for the world's poorest 50%.
    • Hence his involvement on the boards of nuclear energy startups like Helion Energy and UPower.

Advice and Reflections

  • The "days are long but the years are short" - founders should intensely focus on what matters most within their limited high-output window of 20-30 years.
  • When firing, treat employees with respect, be generous with severance, and help them find their next role to make it a "win" for them.
  • Don't overly focus on fundraising optics and valuations - what matters is the equity value once liquid in the future.
  • Ignore the hype around specific verticals or trends and have conviction in building something totally new that seems implausible to others at first.